2024 Election Forecast Live. Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. Kamala harris moved into a narrow lead in our final update, with her chance of winning rising from 50% to 56%.

We have spent months preparing to report on thousands of federal, state and local races on election day, including by collecting. Live election results, and analysis of the 2024 general.